Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences

CONFERENCE ON “THE WISDOM OF CROWDS”
April 18 & 19, 2013

Location:  LUCE CONFERENCE ROOM, SSPA  2112


Thursday, April 18

1:00-1:10

Opening Comments by Stergios Skaperdas & Mark Steyvers

Session Chair

Michael Lee – Cognitive Sciences, UCI

1:10-1:50

Jack Soll – Fuqua School of Business, Duke
“The Wisdom of Small Crowds”

1:50-2:00

Discussion

2:00-2:40

David Pennock – Principal Researcher & Asst. Managing Dir.,  Microsoft
"Crowdsourcing Predictions"

2:40-2:50

Discussion

2:50-3:10

Break

3:10-3:50

Seyda Ertekin – Sloan School of Management, MIT
“TBA”

3:50-4:00

Discussion

4:00-4:40

Casey Lichtendahl – Business Administration, University of Virginia
“The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds”

4:40-4:50

Discussion

4:50-5:10

Break

5:10-5:50

Mark Steyvers – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
“The Wisdom of Crowds in the Aggregation of Rankings”

5:50-6:00

Discussion

Friday, April 19

Session Chair

Mark Steyvers – Cognitive Sciences, UCI

9:00-9:40

Tom Wallsten – Psychology, University of Maryland
“How Wise is the Crowd: Aggregating, Improving and Evaluation Probabilistic Forecasts of Future Events”

9:40-9:50

Discussion

9:50-10:30

David Budescu – Psychology, Fordham University
“Identifying Expertise and Using it to Extract the Wisdom of the Crowds”

10:30-10:40

Discussion

10:40-10:55

Break

10:55--11:35

Michael Lee – Cognitive Sciences, UCI

11:35-11:45

Discussion

11:45-1:45 

Lunch break

1:45-2:25

Stefan Herzog – Max Planck Institute
“The Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Mind”

2:25-2:35

Discussion

2:35-3:15

Robert Winkler
"TBA"

3:15-3:25

Discussion

3:25-3:40

Break

3:40-4:20

William Batchelder, Cognitive Sciences, UCI
“Cultural Consensus Theory”

4:20-4:30

Discussion

4:30-5:00

Summary and General Discussion

 

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