Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences
CONFERENCE ON “THE WISDOM OF CROWDS”
April 18 & 19, 2013
Location: LUCE CONFERENCE ROOM, SSPA 2112
Thursday, April 18
1:00-1:10Opening Comments by Stergios Skaperdas & Mark Steyvers
Session Chair
Michael Lee – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
1:10-1:50
Jack Soll – Fuqua School of Business, Duke
“The Wisdom of Small Crowds”1:50-2:00
Discussion
2:00-2:40
David Pennock – Principal Researcher & Asst. Managing Dir., Microsoft
"Crowdsourcing Predictions"2:40-2:50
Discussion
2:50-3:10
Break
3:10-3:50
Seyda Ertekin – Sloan School of Management, MIT
“TBA”3:50-4:00
Discussion
4:00-4:40
Casey Lichtendahl – Business Administration, University of Virginia
“The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds”4:40-4:50
Discussion
4:50-5:10
Break
5:10-5:50
Mark Steyvers – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
“The Wisdom of Crowds in the Aggregation of Rankings”5:50-6:00
Discussion
Friday, April 19
Session Chair
Mark Steyvers – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
9:00-9:40
Tom Wallsten – Psychology, University of Maryland
“How Wise is the Crowd: Aggregating, Improving and Evaluation Probabilistic Forecasts of Future Events”9:40-9:50
Discussion
9:50-10:30
David Budescu – Psychology, Fordham University
“Identifying Expertise and Using it to Extract the Wisdom of the Crowds”10:30-10:40
Discussion
10:40-10:55Break
10:55--11:35
Michael Lee – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
11:35-11:45
Discussion
11:45-1:45
Lunch break
1:45-2:25
Stefan Herzog – Max Planck Institute
“The Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Mind”2:25-2:35
Discussion
2:35-3:15
Robert Winkler
"TBA"
3:15-3:25
Discussion
3:25-3:40Break
3:40-4:20
William Batchelder, Cognitive Sciences, UCI
“Cultural Consensus Theory”4:20-4:30
Discussion
4:30-5:00
Summary and General Discussion
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