Education |
Top |
- 1975
B.A. in Psychology and Statistics, University of
Haifa, Haifa, Israel
- 1979
M.A. in Quantitative Psychology, University of
NC at Chapel Hill
- 1980
Ph.D. in Quantitative Psychology, University of
NC at Chapel Hill
|
Major Research
Interests |
Top |
- Human
judgment
- Individual and
group decision making under uncertainty and with
incomplete and vague information
- Statistics for
the behavioral and social sciences
- Applied
Psychometrics
|
Courses |
Top |
- Models of Choice
and Decision
- PSGA 7816 -
Multivariate
Analysis
- Experimental
Design
- PSGA 7832 - Meta
Analysis
|
Selected Publications |
Top |
A complete
listing of all of Dr.
Budescu's published works may be obtained by
visiting DigitalResearch@fordham.edu.
- Abbas, A.,
Budescu, D.V., & Gu, Y. Assessing joint
distributions with isoprobability contours.
Management Science, 2010, 56, 997-1011.
- Stober-Davis,
C., Dana, J., & Budescu, D.V. A constrained
linear estimator for multiple regression.
Psychometrika, 2010, 75, 521-541.
- Stober-Davis,
C., Dana, J., & Budescu, D.V. Why
recognition is rational: Optimality results on
single-variable decision rules. Judgment and
Decision Making, 2010, 5, 216-229.
- Budescu, D.V., Broomell,
S. & Por, H. Improving communication of
uncertainty in the IPCC reports. Psychological
Science, 2009,20, 299-308.
- Maciejovsky,
B., Budescu, D.V., & Ariely, D. The
researcher as a consumer of scientific
publications: How do name ordering conventions
affect inferences about contribution
credits? Marketing Science, 2008,
28,589-598.
- Azen,
R., & Budescu, D.V. Applications of multiple
regression in psychological research. In R.
Millsap, & A. Maydeu Olivares (Eds.) Sage
Handbook of Quantitative Methods in Psychology.
Sage, 2009, 283-310.
- Broomell, S,
& Budescu, D.V. Why are expert correlated?
Decomposing correlations between judges.
Psychometrika, 2009, 74, 531-553.
- Huo, Y., &
Budescu, D.V. An extension of dominance analysis
to canonical correlation analysis. Multivariate
Behavioral Research, 2009, 44, 688-709 (Erratum
2009, 44, 859).
- Bar-Hillel, M., Budescu,
D.V., & Amar. M. Predicting World Cup
results: Do goals seem more likely when they pay
off? Psychonomic Bulletin and Review,
2008, 15, 278-283.
- Borenstein, G., Kugler,
T., Budescu, D.V., & Selten, R. Repeated
price competition between individuals and
between teams. Journal of Economic Behavior and
Organization, 2008, 66, 808-821.
- Bar-Hillel, M., Budescu,
D.V., & Amar. M. Wishful thinking in
predicting world cup results: Still elusive. In
(J. Kruger, Ed.). Rationality and Social
Responsibility: Essays in Honor of Robyn Mason
Dawes (Modern Pioneers in Psychological Science:
an APS-LEA series) 2008, 175-186.
- Budescu, D.V. & Templin, S.
Valuation of vague prospects with mixed
outcomes. In T. Kugler, J. Cole Smith, T.
Connolly, and Y.J, Son (Eds.). Decision Modeling
and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex
Environments. Springer. 2008, 253-276.
- Abbas, A., Budescu, D.V., Yu. H.,
& Haggerty, R. A comparison of two
probability encoding methods: Fixed probability
vs. fixed variable values. Decision
Analysis, 2008, 5, 190-202.
- Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY.
Aggregation of opinions based on correlated cues
and advisors. Journal of Behavioral Decision
Making, 2007, 20, 153-177.
- Maciejovsky, B. &
Budescu, D.V. Collective induction without
cooperation: Learning and knowledge transfer in
cooperative groups and competitive auctions.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,
2007, 92, 854-870.
- Du, N.
& Budescu, D. V. Does past volatility affect
investors' price forecasts and confidence
judgments? International Journal of Forecasting,
2007, 23, 497-511.
- Budescu, D.V. & Du, N.
The coherence and consistency of investors'
probability judgments. Management Science, 2007,
53, 1731-1744.
- Budescu, D.V.
Confidence in aggregation of opinions from
multiple sources. In K. Fiedler & P. Juslin
(Eds.) Information sampling and adaptive
cognition. Cambridge University Press,
2006, 327-352.
- Azen,
R., & Budescu, D.V. Comparing predictors in
multivariate regression models: An extension of
dominance analysis. Journal of Behavioral and
Educational Statistics, 2006, 31,
157-180.
- Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY. To
Bayes or not to Bayes: A comparison of two
classes of models of information
aggregation. Decision Analysis, 2006, 3,
145-162.
- Yechiam, E.
& Budescu. D.V. The sensitivity of
probability assessments to time units and
performer characteristics. Decision Analysis,
2006, 3, 177-193.
- Budescu, D.V.
Review of “Preference, beliefs and similarity:
Selected writings by Amos Tversky” Edited by
Eldar Shafir. The European Association of
Decision Making Bulletin. Spring
2005.
- Viechtbauer, W.,
& Budescu, D.V. A model selection approach
to testing dependent ICCs: Comments on
Cohen & Doveh. In F. Dansereau and F.
Yammarino (Eds.) Multi-Level Issues in Strategy
and Methods (Volume 4 in Research in Muti-Level
Issues). Amsterdam, JAI Press, Elsevier, 2005,
433-454.
- Kramer, K.M.
& Budescu, D.V. Exploring Ellsberg's paradox
in vague-vague cases. In Zwick, R. &
Rapoport. A. (Eds.) Experimental Business
Research, Volume III. Kluwer Academic
Publishers: Norwell, MA and Dordrecht, The
Netherlands, 2005, 131-154.
- Fischer, I.,
& Budescu, D.V. When do those who know more
also know more about how much they know? The
developmentof confidence inperformance and
performance in decision-making. Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2005, 98,
39-53.
- Bar-Hillel, M.,
Budescu, D.V., & Attaly, I. Scoring and
keying multiple-choice tests: A case study in
irrationality. Mind and Society, 2005, 4, 3-12.
- Du, N. &
Budescu, D.V. The effects of imprecise
probabilities and outcomes in evaluating
investment options. Management Science, 2005,
51, 1791-1803.
- Budescu. D.V.,
& Maciejovsky, B. The effect of monetary
feedback and information spillover on cognitive
errors: Evidence from competitive markets.
Management Science, 2005, 51, 1829-1843.
- Suleiman, R.,
Budescu, D.V., Fischer, I. & Messick, D.
(Eds.) Contemporary Psychological Research on
Social Dilemmas. Cambridge University Press,
2004.
- VanDijk, E.,
Wit, A., Wilke, H., & Budescu, D.V. What we
know (and do not know) about the effects of
uncertainty on behavior in social dilemmas.
Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V., Fischer, I. &
Messick, D. (Eds.) Contemporary Psychological
Research on Social Dilemmas. Cambridge
University Press, 2004, 315-331.
- Hirshman, E.,
Merritt, P., Wang, C.C.L, Wierman, M., Budescu,
D.V., Kohrt, W., Templin, J.L., & Bhasin, S.
Evidence that Androgenic and Estrogenic
Metabolites contribute to the effects of
Dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) on cognition in
post-menopausal women. Hormones and Behavior,
2004, 45, 144-155.
- Karelitz, T.M.,
& Budescu, D.V. You say probable and I say
likely: Improving inter-personal communication
with verbal probability phrases. Journal of
Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2004, 10,
25-41.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Azen, R. Beyond global measures of
relative importance: Insights from dominance
analysis. Organizational Research Methods. 2004,
7, 341-350.
- Bereby-Meyer,
Y., Meyer, J. & Budescu, D.V. Decision
making under internal uncertainty: The case of
multiple-choice tests with different scoring
rules. Acta Psychologica, 2003, 112,
207-220.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Rantilla, A.K, Yu, H., & Karelitz. T.M. The
effects of asymmetry among advisors on the
aggregation of their opinions.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision
Processes, 2003, 90, 178 - 194.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Karelitz, T.M. & Wallsten, T.S. Predicting
the directionality of probability phrases from
their membership functions. Journal of
Behavioral Decision Making, 2003, 16,
159-180.
- Azen, R. &
Budescu, D.V. Dominance analysis: A method for
comparing predictors in multiple regression.
Psychological Methods, 2003, 8, 129-148.
- Budescu. D.V.,
& Karelitz, T.M. Inter-personal
communication of precise and imprecise
subjective probabilities. In J.M. Bernard, T.
Seidenfeld, & M. Zaffalon (Eds.) Proceedings
of the Third International Symposium on
Imprecise probabilities and their Applications
(ISIPTA' 03). Carleton Scientific, 2003, pp.
91-105.
- Budescu. D.V.
& Au, W.T. A model of sequential
effects in CPR dilemmas. Journal of Behavioral
Decision Making, 2002, 15, 37-63.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Kuhn, K.M., Kramer, K.M. & Johnson, T.
Modeling certainty equivalents for imprecise
gambles. Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes, 2002, 88, 748-768. (Erratum
in the same volume, page 1214).
- Karelitz, T.M.,
Dhami, M.K., Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S.
Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal
Probabilities. In Proceedings of the 15'th
International Florida Artificial Intelligence
Research Society (FLAIRS) Conference. AAAI
Press, 2002, 298-503.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Kuhn, K.M., & Kramer, K.M. Beyond Ellsberg's
paradox: Modelling the effects of vagueness in
risky decisions. Revue d'Ecomonie Politique,
2001, 111, 728.
- Johnson, T.R.,
Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. Averaging
probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of
asymptotic diagnostic values. Journal of
Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14,
123-140.
- Suleiman, R.,
Budescu, D.V. & Rapoport, A. Provision of
step level public goods with uncertain provision
threshold and continuous
contribution. Group Decisions and
Negotiations, 2001, 10, 253-274.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Fischer. I. The same but different: An
empirical examination of the reducibility
principle. Journal of Behavioral Decision
Making, 2001, 14, 187-206.
- Morera, O.F.,
& Budescu, D.V. Reduction of random error in
analytic hierarchies: A comparison of holistic
and decompositional decision strategies. Journal
of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14,
223-242.
- Azen, R.,
Budescu, D.V., & Reiser, B. Criticality of
predictors in multiple regression. British
Journal of Mathematical and Statistical
Psychology, 2001, 54, 201-225.
- Budescu. D.V.
& Rantilla, A.K. Confidence in aggregation
of expert opinions. Acta Psychologica,
2000, 104, 371-398.
- Ariely, D., Au.,
W.T., Bender, R.H., Budescu, D.V., Dietz, C.,
Gu, H., Wallsten, T.S. & Zauberman, G. The
effects of averaging subjective probability
estimates between and within judges. Journal of
Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2000, 6,
130-147.
- Wallsten, T.S,
Erev, I., & Budescu, D.V. The Importance of
Theory: Response to Brenner
(2000). Psychological Review, 2000,
107, 947-949.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Erev, I., & Zwick, R. (Eds.) Games and
Human Behavior: Essays in Honor of Amnon
Rapoport. 1999 (Lawrence Earlbaum
Associates).
- Zwick, R., Erev,
I., & Budescu. D.V. The psychological and
economical perspective on the study of human
decisions in social and interactive contexts? In
D.V. Budescu, I. Erev, & R. Zwick
(Eds.) Games and Human Behavior, LEA, 1999, pp
3-20.
- Suleiman, R.,
& Budescu, D.V. Common pool resource
dilemmas with incomplete information. In
D.V. Budescu, I. Erev, & R.
Zwick(Eds.) Games and Human Behavior, LEA, 1999,
387-410.
- Kuhn, K.,
Budescu, D.V., Hershey, J., Kramer, K., &
Rantilla, A. Tradeoffs in risk attributes: The
joint effects of dimension preference and
vagueness. Risk, Decision and Policy, 1999, 4,
1-16.
- Kramer, K.M.,
& Budescu, D.V. Modelling Ellsberg's paradox
in the vague-vague case. In G. deCooman, F.O
Cozman, S. Moral and P. Walley (Eds.)
Proceedings of the First International Symposium
on Imprecise probabilities and their
Applications (ISIPTA). Universiteit Ghent, 1999,
pp. 249-257.
- Budescu, D.V.
Commentary of Camerer and Hogarth's”The effects
of financial incentives on behavior”.
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1999, 19,
43-46.
Au, W. & Budescu, D.V. Sequential
effects in give-some and take-some social
dilemmas. In M. Foddy, M. Smithson, S.
Schneider & M. Hogg (Eds.) Resolving Social
Dilemmas: Dynamic, Structural and Intergroup
Aspects. Psychological Press, 1999,
87-99.
- Morera, O.F.,
& Budescu, D.V. A psychometric analysis of
the “Divide and Conquer” principle in decision
analysis. Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes, 1998, 75, 187-206.
- Suleiman, R.,
Rapoport, A., & Budescu. D.V. Testing
the equilibrium solution for resource dilemmas
under uncertainty. In E. T. Loehman &
D. M. Kilgour (Eds.) Designing Institutions for
Environmental and Resource Management.
Edward Elgar, 1998, 339-355.
- Rantilla, A.K.,
& Budescu, D.V. Aggregation of expert
opinions. Proceedings of the 32nd Annual
Hawai International Conference on Systems
Sciences. 1998.
- Suleiman, R.,
Rapoport, A. & Budescu, D.V. Fixed position
and property rights in sequential resource
dilemmas under uncertainty. Acta Psychologica,
1996, 93, 229-245 {Also appeared in R. Beyth
Marom, P. Ayton, J. Beattie & P. Keole
(Eds.) Contributions to Decision Research II.
Elsevier Science, 1996, 229-245}.
- Kuhn, K., &
Budescu, D.V. The relative importance of
probability, outcomes and vagueness in hazard
risk decisions. Organizational Behavior and
Human Decision Processes, 1996,68,
301-317.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Crouch, B., & Morera, O. A multi-criteria
comparison of response scales and scaling
methods in the AHP. Proceedings of the
Fourth International Symposium on the AHP.
Faculty of Business Administration, Simon Fraser
University, Burnaby, BC. 1996, 280-291.
- Budescu, D.V.
Review of "Subjective Probability” Edited by G
Wright and P. Ayton. Journal of the American
Statistical Association, 1996, 91,
1753-1754.
- Ben-Simon, A.,
Budescu, D.V. & Nevo, B. A comparative study
of measures of partial knowledge in multiple
choice tests. Applied Psychological Measurement,
1997, 21, 65-88.
- Olson, M. &
Budescu, D.V. Patterns of preferences for
numerical and verbal probabilities.
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10,
117-132.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Au, W., & Chen, X. Effects of protocol of
play and social orientation on behavior in
sequential resource dilemmas. Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1997, 69,
179-194.
- Borenstein, G.,
Budescu. D.V., & Zamir, S. Cooperation in
intergroup, N-person and two-person games of
chicken. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 1997,
41, 384-406.
- Rapoport, A.
& Budescu, D.V. Randomization in individual
choice behavior. Psychological Review, 1997,
104, 603-617.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Cohen, Y. & Ben-Simon, A. A Revised Modified
Parallel Analysis (RMPA) for the construction
of unidimensional item pools. Applied
Psychological Measurement, 1997, 21,
233-252.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S., & Yates, J.F.
Introduction to the special issue on “Stochastic
and Cognitive Models of Confidence”. Journal of
Behavioral Decision Making, 1997,
10,153-155.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. On the importance of
random error in the study of probability
judgment. Part I: New theoretical developments.
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10,
157-171.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Wallsten, T.S. & Au, W. On the
importance of random error in the study of
probability judgment. Part II: Using the
stochastic judgment model to detect systematic
trends. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making,
1997, 10, 173-188.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Budescu, D.V., Erev, I. & Diederich, A.
Evaluating and combining subjective probability
estimates. Journal of Behavioral Decision
Making, 1997, 10, 243-268.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Budescu, D.V. & Tsao, C.J. Combining
linguistic probabilities. Psychologische
Beitraege, 1997, 27-55 {Also appeared in R.W.
Scholz & A..C. Zimmer (Eds.) Qualitative
Aspects of Decision Making. 1997, Pabst Science
Publishers, 27-55.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Suleiman, R., & Rapoport, A. Positional
order and group size effects in resource
dilemmas with uncertain resources.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision
Processes, 1995, 61, 225-238.
- Wallsten, T.S.
& Budescu, D.V. A review of human linguistic
probability processing: General principles and
empirical evidence. The Knowledge Engineering
Review, 1995, 10, 43-62.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Bruderman, M. The relationship between
"the illusion of control" and "the desirability
bias". Journal of Behavioral Decision Making,
1995, 8, 109-126.
· Bar-Hillel, M. &
Budescu, D.V. The elusive wishful thinking
effect. Thinking and Reasoning, 1995, 1, 71-104.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Common pools
dilemmas under uncertainty: Qualitative tests of
equilibrium solutions. Games and Economic
Behavior, 1995, 10, 171-201.
- Seale, D.,
Rapoport, A., & Budescu, D.V. Decision
making understrict uncertainty: An experimental
test of competitive criteria. Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1995, 64,
65-75.
- Fisher, I.,
& Budescu, D.V. Desirability and hindsight
biases in predicting results of a multi-party
election. In J.P. Caverni, M. Bar-Hillel,
H.F. Barron, & H. Jungermann (Eds.)
Contributions to Decision Research I. Elsevier
Science Publishers B.V., North Holland, 1995,
pp. 185-203.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Wallsten, T.S. Processing linguistic
probabilities: General principles and empirical
evidence. In J.R. Busemeyer, R. Hastie & D.
Medin (Eds.) The Psychology of Learning
and Motivation: Decision Making from the
Perspective of Cognitive Psychology.
Academic Press, 1995, 275-318.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Wallsten, T.S. Review of "Communicating
Quantities: A Psychological Perspective" By L.M.
Moxey and A.J. Sanford. Chance, 1995, 8,
38-40.
- Erev, I.,
Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V. Simultaneous
over- and underconfidence: The role of error in
judgment processes. Psychological Review,
1994, 101, 519-527.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Rapoport, A. Subjective randomization in
one-and two-person games. Journal of Behavioral
Decision Making, 1994, 7, 261-278.
- Suleiman, R.,
Budescu, D.V. & Rapoport, A., Positional
order effects in resource dilemma games.
In U. Schulz, W. Albers & U. Mueller
(Eds.) Social Dilemmas and Cooperation.
Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 1994, pp.
55-73.
- Wasserman, S.
& Budescu, D.V. Review of "A Handbook for
Data Analysis in the Behavioral Sciences.
Vol I: Statistical Issues and Vol II:
Methodological Issues". Edited by G. Keren
and C. Lewis. Journal of the American
Statistical Association, 1994, 89, 715-717.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Budescu, D.V. & Zwick, R. Comparing the
calibration and coherence of numerical and
verbal probability judgments. Management
Science, 1993, 39, 176-190.
- Rapoport, A.,
Budescu, D.V. & Suleiman, R. Sequential
requests from randomly distributed shared
resources. Journal of Mathematical Psychology,
1993, 37, 241-265.
- Budescu, D.V.
Dominance analysis: A new approach to the
problem of relative importance of predictors in
multiple regression. Psychological
Bulletin, 1993, 114, 542-551.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Bar-Hillel, M. To guess or not to guess: A
decision theoretic view of formula scoring.
Journal of Educational Measurement, 1993, 30,
277-292.
- Budescu,
D.V. Self-evaluation of success in
psychological testing. In B.Nevo & R. Jager,
R.S.(Eds.) Educational and Psychological
Testing: The Test Taker's Outlook. Toronto:
Hogrefe & Huber Publishers, 1993, pp.
153-176.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Budescu, D.V., Zwick, R. & Kemp, S.M.
Preferences and reasons for communicating
probabilistic information in verbal or numerical
terms. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society,
1993, 31, 135-138.
- Almagor, M.,
Budescu. D.V., Nevo,B., & Montag, I. MMPI -
2: A Hebrew translation report. University of
Haifa, May 1993.
- Rapoport, A.
& Budescu, D.V. Generation of random
binary series in strictly competitive games.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General,
1992, 121, 352-364.
- Rapoport, A.,
Budescu, D.V., Suleiman, R. & Weg, E. Social
dilemmas with uniformly distributed resources.
In W.G. Liebrand, D.M. Messick &
H. A.M. Wilke (Eds.) Social Dilemmas:
Theoretical Issues and Research Findings.
Pergamon Press, 1992, pp. 41-55.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Simultaneous vs
sequential requests in resource dilemmas with
incomplete information. Acta Psychologica, 1992,
80, 297-310. {Also appeared in O. Huber, J.
Mumpower, J.van der Pligt & P. Koele (Eds.)
Current Themes in Psychological Decision
Research. North Holland, 1992, p. 297 -
310.
- Wallsten, T.S.
& Budescu, D.V. Comment on "Quantifying
probabilistic expressions" (By Mosteller &
Youtz). Statistical Sciences, 1990, 5,
23-26.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Wallsten, T.S. Dyadic decisions with
numeric and verbal probabilities. Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1990, 46,
240-263.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Resource
dilemmas with environmental uncertainty and
asymmetric players. European Journal of Social
Psychology, 1990, 20, 475-488.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Zwick, R., Wallsten, T.S. & Erev I. An
empirical study of information integration.
International Journal of Man Machine
Studies, 1990, 33, 657-676.
- Budescu, D.V.
Review of "Analyzing Decision Making: Metric
Conjoint Analysis". By J.J. Louviere. Applied
Psychological Measurement, 1990, 14, 103-105.
- Yaffe-Katz, A.,
Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Magnitude
comparisons of numerical and nonnumerical
expressions of uncertainty. Memory and
Cognition, 1989, 17, 249-264.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Budescu, D.V., & Erev, I. Understanding and
using linguistic uncertainties. In B. Rohrman,
L.R. Beach, C. Vlek & S.R. Watson (Eds.)
Advances in Decision Research. 1989, North
Holland, 1989, pp. 39-52. (Also appeared
as journal article; see 1988)
- Budescu,
D.V. On the feasibility of multiple
matching tests: Variations on a theme by
Gulliksen. Applied Psychological Measurement,
1988, 12, 5-14.
· Wallsten, T.S., Budescu,
D.V., & Erev, I. Understanding and using
linguistic uncertainties. Acta Psychologica,
1988, 68, 39-52. (Also appeared in edited
book; see 1989)
- Budescu, D.V.,
Weinberg, S., & Wallsten, T.S.
Decisions based on numerically andverbally
expressed uncertainties. Journal of Experimental
Psychology: Human Perception and Performance,
1988, 14, 281-294.
- Zwick, R.,
Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. An
empirical study of the integration of linguistic
probabilities. In T. Zeteny (Ed.)
Fuzzy Sets in Psychology .Amsterdam: North
Holland, 1988, pp. 91-125.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Weiss, W. Reflection of transitive and
intransitive preferences: A test of prospect
theory. Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes, 1987, 39,
184-195.
- Budescu, D.V. A
Markov model for generation of binary random
series. Journal of Experimental Psychology:
Human Perception and Performance, 1987, 13,
25-39.
- Budescu, D.V.
Selecting an equating method: Linear or
equipercentile? Journal of Educational
Statistics, 1987, 12, 33-43.
- Zwick, R.,
Carlstein, E., & Budescu, D.V. Measures of
similarity between fuzzy concepts: A comparative
analysis. International Journal of
Approximate Reasoning, 1987, 1, 221-242.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Wallsten, T.S. Subjective estimation based
on precise and vague uncertainties. In G. Wright
& P. Ayton (Eds.) Judgmental Forecasting.
N.Y.: Wiley, 1987, pp. 63-92.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Betzer, R.E. Lexical and figurative
negation of probability words in Hebrew. IIPDM
Report No. 41, Haifa, 1987.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A, Zwick R. &
Forsyth,B. Measuring the vague meaning of
probability terms. Journal of Experimental
Psychology: General, 1986, 115, 348-365.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Zwick, R., & Rapoport, A. A comparison of
the eigenvalue method and the geometric mean
procedure for ratio scaling. Applied
Psychological Measurement, 1986, 10,
69-78.
- Budescu,
D.V. Self-evaluation of success in
psychological testing. In B. Nevo & R.
Jager, R.S. (Eds.), Psychological Testing: The
Examinee Perspective. Gottingen: Sonderdruck,
1986, pp. 69-91.
- Budescu, D.V.
Analysis of dichotomous variables in the
presence of serial dependence. Psychological
Bulletin, 1985, 97, 547-561.
- Budescu,
D.V. Efficiency of linear equating as a
function of the length of the anchor test.
Journal of Educational Measurement, 1985, 22,
13-20.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Nevo, B. Optimal number of options:
An investigation of the assumption of
proportionality. Journal of Educational
Measurement, 1985, 22,
183-196.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Wallsten, T.S. Consistency in
interpretation of probability phrases.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision
Processes, 1985, 36, 391-405.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Zwick, R., & Rapoport, A. A comparison of
the analytic hierarchy process and the geometric
mean procedure for ratio scaling. The L.L.
Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory Report No.
172, Chapel Hill, NC 1985.
- Budescu,
D.V. Scaling binary comparison matrices: A
comment on Narasimhan's proposal. Fuzzy Sets and
Systems, 1984, 14, 187-192.
- Budescu,
D.V. Tests of lagged dominance in
sequential dyadic interaction. Psychological
Bulletin, 1984, 96, 402-414.
- Wallsten, T.S.
& Budescu, D.V. Encoding subjective
probabilities: A psychological and psychometric
review. Management Science, 1983, 29,
151-173.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Forsyth, B. & Budescu, D.V. Stability
and coherence of health experts' upper and lower
subjective probabilities about dose-response
curves. Organizational Behavior and Human
Decision Processes, 1983, 31, 277-302.
- Budescu, D.V.
The estimation of factor indeterminacy.
Educational and Psychological Measurement, 1983,
43, 971-976.
- Kalsbeek, W.D.,
Mendoza, O.M. & Budescu, D.V. Cost
models for optimum allocation in multi-stage
sampling. Survey Methodology Journal, 1983, 9,
154-177.
- Budescu,
D.V. The power of the F test in normal
populations with heterogeneous variances.
Educational and Psychological Measurement, 1982,
42, 409-416.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Rodgers, J.L. Corrections for
spurious influences on correlations between MMPI
scales. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 1981,
16, 483-497.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Appelbaum, M.I. Variance stabilizing
transformations and the power of the F test
Journal of Educational Statistics, 1981,
6,
55-74.
- Wallsten, T.S.
& Budescu, D.V. Additivity and
nonadditivity in judging MMPI profiles.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human
Perception and Performance, 1981, 7, 1096-1109.
- Kalsbeek, W.D.,
Mendoza, O.M. & Budescu, D.V. A new
cost model for optimum allocation in two-stage
sampling. Proceedings of the
American Statistical Association - Section on
Survey Research Methods,
1981.
- Williams, R.L.,
Budescu, D.V. & Chromy, J. NAEP
Year-11 design efficiency study.
(RTI/1969/01-01 F) Research Triangle Institute,
RTP NC, October 1981.
- Budescu,
D.V. Some new measures of profile
dissimilarity. Applied Psychological
Measurement, 1980, 4, 261-272.
- Budescu,
D.V. Approximate confidence intervals for
a robust scale parameter. Psychometrika, 1980,
45,
397-402.
- Budescu,
D.V. A note on polynomial
regression. Multivariate
BehavioralResearch, 1980, 15, 497-508.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Wallsten, T.S. A note on monotonic
transformations in the context of functional
measurement and analysis of variance,
Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 1979, 14,
307-310.
- Budescu,
D.V. Differential weighting of
multiple-choice items. Educational Testing
Service, Research Report 79-19, Princeton, N.J.,
December 1979.
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Selected Presentations |
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- Budescu, D.V.
Judgment and decisions with, and communication
of, imprecise information. Invited presentation
at the Conference on Ambiguity, Uncertainty, and
Climate Change. Berkeley, CA, September,
2009.
- Budescu, D.V. A
decision theoretical perspective on
psychometrics: Analyzing test-taking behavior.
The Anastasi Lecture. Fordham University,
December 2008.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Abbas, A., Yu, HT., Haggerty, R., Mulligan, R.,
& Gu, R. Fixed pie or fixed variable?
Comparing methods of elicitation of probability
distributions. Invited presentation at the
INFORMS Conference, Washington DC, October
2008.
- Abbas, A.,
Budescu, D.V. & Gu, Y. Assessing joint
distributions with isoprobability contours.
Invited presentation at the INFORMS Conference,
Washington DC, October 2008.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Broomell, S.B. & Por, H.H. How should we
communicate uncertainty about climate change to
the Public? The case of the IPCC. Invited
presentation at the workshop on Ecologies
of Consumption: Markets, Sustainability, and
Consumer Culture. Champaign, Il, April
2008.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Yu, HY. Aggregation of probabilistic
information from correlated sources. Invited
presentation at the workshop on “Risk Attitudes”
Montpellier, France, May 2007.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Yu, HY. A comparison of models of
aggregation of probabilistic forecasts. Invited
presentation at the workshop “Meteorology meets
Decision Science: Risk, Forecast and Decision”
Exeter, UK, June 2007.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Maciejovsky, B. Collective induction
without cooperation? Learning and knowledge
transfer in cooperative groups and competitive
auctions. Invited presentation at the
pre-conference on “New directions in group
research” at the annual meeting of the Society
of Experimental Social Psychology. Chicago,
October 2007.
- Budescu, D.V.
& Templin, S.E. Valuation of Vague
Prospects with Mixed Outcomes. Invited
presentation at the workshop on Decision
Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex
Environments. Tucson, AZ, February 2006.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Yu, HY. To Bayes or not to Bayes: A
comparison of models of information aggregation.
Invited presentation at the meeting on “Advice
and Trust in Decision Making” at University
College London, June 2006.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Yu, HY. To Bayes or not to Bayes: A
comparison of models of information aggregation.
Invited presentation at the meeting on “Affect,
Motivation and Decision Making” at Ein Boqeq,
Israel, December 2006.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Maciejovsky, B. The effects of monetary
feedback and information spillovers on cognitive
errors: Evidence from competitive markets.
Invited presentation at the conference “People
and Money: The human factor in financial
decision-making” DePaul University, Chicago, IL,
January 2005.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Maciejovsky, B. Can competitive markets
eliminate cognitive biases. Invited presentation
at the spring meeting of the Chicago
Quantitative Alliance, Las Vegas, NV, April
2005.
- Budescu, D.V.
Determining relative importance through
dominance analysis. Invited presentation
at the Annual Meeting of the Midwestern
Psychological Association (MPA). Chicago Il, May
2005.
- Budescu, D.V.,
& Broomell, S. The effects of presentation
format and decision aids on decisions under deep
uncertainty. Invited presentation at the
meeting on Abrupt Climate Change, Aspen Global
Change Institute, July 2005.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Rantilla, A.K., Karelitz, T.M. & Yu, H.
Confidence in aggregation of opinions from
multiple sources. Invited presentation at
the meeting on “Information sampling as a key to
understanding adaptive cognition in uncertain
environments”, Heidelberg, Germany, May
2002.
- Budescu D. V.
Effects of shared information on the aggregation
of multiple probabilistic forecasts.
Invited presentation at the “Diversity theme
workshop” organized by the Center for Software
Reliability (CSR) at City University London, May
2002.
- Budescu D. V. On
the judgment, aggregation of and confidence in
probabilistic opinions. Invited presentation at
the 10'th anniversary of the Center for the
Study of Rationality at the Hebrew University,
Jerusalem, June 2002.
- Budescu, D.V.
Aggregating probabilistic opinions and
forecasts. Presidential address at the annual
meeting of the Society of Judgment and Decision
Making, Orlando, Fl, 2001.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Kuhn, K.M., & Kramer. K.M. Modeling the
effects of vagueness on risky decisions. Invited
presentation at the 4th Annual French Meeting of
Experimental Economics. May1998,
Paris.
- Budescu, D.V.,
Johnson, T., & Wallsten, T.S. Averaging
probability judgments:MonteCarlo tests of the
importance of pair-wise independence.
Invited presentation at the International
INFORMS meeting, July 1998. Tel-Aviv.
- Wallsten, T.S.,
Dietz, C., & Budescu, D.V. Averaging
probability judgments: Tests of the
applicability of a theorem to real data. Invited
presentation at the International INFORMS
meeting, July 1998. Tel-Aviv.
- Budescu, D.V
Ellsberg re-visited: Modeling the effects of
vagueness on risky choices. Invited
presentation at the International INFORMS
meeting, July 1998. Tel-Aviv.
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