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David V. Budescu, Ph.D.
Anne Anastasi Professor of Psychometrics and Quantitative Psychology
Department of Psychology
Dealy Hall Room 220
441 East Fordham Road
Bronx, NY 10458-9993
Phone: 718 817 3786
Fax: 718 817 3785
Email: budescu@fordham.edu		 Office Hours: by appointment

Curriculum Vitae
 Professor Budescu
Education | Research | Courses | Publications |  Presentations

Education Top
  • 1975   B.A. in Psychology and Statistics, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel
  • 1979   M.A. in Quantitative Psychology, University of NC at Chapel Hill
  • 1980   Ph.D. in Quantitative Psychology, University of NC at Chapel Hill

Major Research Interests Top
  • Human judgment
  • Individual and group decision making under uncertainty and with incomplete and vague information
  • Statistics for the behavioral and social sciences
  • Applied Psychometrics

Courses Top
  • Models of Choice and Decision
  • PSGA 7816 - Multivariate Analysis
  • Experimental Design
  • PSGA 7832 - Meta Analysis

Selected Publications Top

A complete listing of all of Dr. Budescu's published works may be obtained by visiting DigitalResearch@fordham.edu.
  • Abbas, A., Budescu, D.V., & Gu, Y. Assessing joint distributions with isoprobability contours. Management Science, 2010, 56, 997-1011.
  • Stober-Davis, C., Dana, J., & Budescu, D.V. A constrained linear estimator for multiple regression. Psychometrika, 2010, 75, 521-541.
  • Stober-Davis, C., Dana, J., & Budescu, D.V. Why recognition is rational: Optimality results on single-variable decision rules. Judgment and Decision Making, 2010, 5, 216-229. 
  • Budescu, D.V., Broomell, S. & Por, H. Improving communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports. Psychological Science, 2009,20, 299-308.
  • Maciejovsky, B., Budescu, D.V., & Ariely, D. The researcher as a consumer of scientific  publications: How do name ordering conventions affect inferences about contribution credits?  Marketing Science, 2008, 28,589-598.
  • Azen, R., & Budescu, D.V. Applications of multiple regression in psychological research. In R. Millsap, & A. Maydeu Olivares (Eds.) Sage Handbook of Quantitative Methods in Psychology. Sage, 2009, 283-310.
  • Broomell, S, & Budescu, D.V. Why are expert correlated? Decomposing correlations between judges. Psychometrika, 2009, 74, 531-553.
  • Huo, Y., & Budescu, D.V. An extension of dominance analysis to canonical correlation analysis. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 2009, 44, 688-709 (Erratum 2009, 44, 859).
  • Bar-Hillel, M., Budescu, D.V., & Amar. M.  Predicting World Cup results: Do goals seem more likely when they pay off?  Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 2008, 15, 278-283.
  • Borenstein, G., Kugler, T., Budescu, D.V., & Selten, R. Repeated price competition between individuals and between teams. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2008, 66, 808-821.
  • Bar-Hillel, M., Budescu, D.V., & Amar. M. Wishful thinking in predicting world cup results: Still elusive. In (J. Kruger, Ed.). Rationality and Social Responsibility: Essays in Honor of Robyn Mason Dawes (Modern Pioneers in Psychological Science: an APS-LEA series) 2008, 175-186.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Templin, S. Valuation of vague prospects with mixed outcomes. In T. Kugler, J. Cole Smith, T. Connolly, and Y.J, Son (Eds.). Decision Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex Environments. Springer. 2008, 253-276.
  • Abbas, A., Budescu, D.V., Yu. H., & Haggerty, R. A comparison of two probability encoding methods: Fixed probability vs.  fixed variable values.  Decision Analysis, 2008, 5, 190-202. 
  • Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY. Aggregation of opinions based on correlated cues and advisors. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2007, 20, 153-177.
  • Maciejovsky, B. & Budescu, D.V. Collective induction without cooperation: Learning and knowledge transfer in cooperative groups and competitive auctions. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 2007, 92, 854-870.
  • Du, N. & Budescu, D. V. Does past volatility affect investors' price forecasts and confidence judgments? International Journal of Forecasting, 2007, 23, 497-511.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Du, N. The coherence and consistency of investors' probability judgments. Management Science, 2007, 53, 1731-1744.
  • Budescu, D.V. Confidence in aggregation of opinions from multiple sources. In K. Fiedler & P. Juslin (Eds.) Information sampling and adaptive cognition.  Cambridge University Press, 2006, 327-352.  
  • Azen, R., & Budescu, D.V. Comparing predictors in multivariate regression models: An extension of dominance analysis. Journal of Behavioral and Educational Statistics, 2006, 31, 157-180.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY. To Bayes or not to Bayes: A comparison of two classes of models of information aggregation.  Decision Analysis, 2006, 3, 145-162.
  • Yechiam, E. & Budescu. D.V. The sensitivity of probability assessments to time units and performer characteristics. Decision Analysis, 2006, 3, 177-193.
  • Budescu, D.V. Review of “Preference, beliefs and similarity: Selected writings by Amos Tversky” Edited by Eldar Shafir. The European Association of Decision Making Bulletin.  Spring 2005.
  • Viechtbauer, W., & Budescu, D.V. A model selection approach to testing dependent ICCs:  Comments on Cohen & Doveh.  In F. Dansereau and F. Yammarino (Eds.) Multi-Level Issues in Strategy and Methods (Volume 4 in Research in Muti-Level Issues). Amsterdam, JAI Press, Elsevier, 2005, 433-454.
  • Kramer, K.M. & Budescu, D.V. Exploring Ellsberg's paradox in vague-vague cases. In Zwick, R. & Rapoport. A. (Eds.) Experimental Business Research, Volume III. Kluwer Academic Publishers: Norwell, MA and Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 2005, 131-154.   
  • Fischer, I., & Budescu, D.V. When do those who know more also know more about how much they know? The developmentof confidence inperformance and performance in decision-making. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2005, 98, 39-53.
  • Bar-Hillel, M., Budescu, D.V., & Attaly, I. Scoring and keying multiple-choice tests: A case study in irrationality. Mind and Society, 2005, 4, 3-12.
  • Du, N. & Budescu, D.V. The effects of imprecise probabilities and outcomes in evaluating investment options. Management Science, 2005, 51, 1791-1803.
  • Budescu. D.V., & Maciejovsky, B. The effect of monetary feedback and information spillover on cognitive errors: Evidence from competitive markets. Management Science, 2005, 51, 1829-1843.
  • Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V., Fischer, I. & Messick, D. (Eds.) Contemporary Psychological Research on Social Dilemmas. Cambridge University Press, 2004. 
  • VanDijk, E., Wit, A., Wilke, H., & Budescu, D.V. What we know (and do not know) about the effects of uncertainty on behavior in social dilemmas. Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V., Fischer, I. & Messick, D. (Eds.) Contemporary Psychological Research on Social Dilemmas. Cambridge University Press, 2004, 315-331. 
  • Hirshman, E., Merritt, P., Wang, C.C.L, Wierman, M., Budescu, D.V., Kohrt, W., Templin, J.L., & Bhasin, S. Evidence that Androgenic and Estrogenic Metabolites contribute to the effects of Dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) on cognition in post-menopausal women. Hormones and Behavior, 2004, 45, 144-155.
  • Karelitz, T.M., & Budescu, D.V. You say probable and I say likely: Improving inter-personal communication with verbal probability phrases. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2004, 10, 25-41.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Azen, R. Beyond global measures of relative importance: Insights from dominance analysis. Organizational Research Methods. 2004, 7, 341-350.
  • Bereby-Meyer, Y., Meyer, J. & Budescu, D.V. Decision making under internal uncertainty: The case of multiple-choice tests with different scoring rules.  Acta Psychologica, 2003, 112, 207-220.
  • Budescu, D.V., Rantilla, A.K, Yu, H., & Karelitz. T.M. The effects of asymmetry among advisors on the aggregation of their opinions.  Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2003, 90, 178  - 194.
  • Budescu, D.V., Karelitz, T.M. & Wallsten, T.S. Predicting the directionality of probability phrases from their membership functions. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2003, 16, 159-180.
  • Azen, R. & Budescu, D.V. Dominance analysis: A method for comparing predictors in multiple regression. Psychological Methods, 2003, 8, 129-148.
  • Budescu. D.V., & Karelitz, T.M. Inter-personal communication of precise and imprecise subjective probabilities. In J.M. Bernard, T. Seidenfeld, & M. Zaffalon (Eds.) Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Imprecise probabilities and their Applications (ISIPTA' 03). Carleton Scientific, 2003, pp. 91-105.
  • Budescu. D.V. & Au, W.T.  A model of sequential effects in CPR dilemmas. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2002, 15, 37-63.
  • Budescu, D.V., Kuhn, K.M., Kramer, K.M. & Johnson, T.  Modeling certainty equivalents for imprecise gambles. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2002, 88, 748-768. (Erratum in the same volume, page 1214).
  • Karelitz, T.M., Dhami, M.K., Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal Probabilities. In Proceedings of the 15'th International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society (FLAIRS) Conference.  AAAI Press, 2002, 298-503.
  • Budescu, D.V., Kuhn, K.M., & Kramer, K.M. Beyond Ellsberg's paradox: Modelling the effects of vagueness in risky decisions. Revue d'Ecomonie Politique, 2001, 111, 728.
  • Johnson, T.R., Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. Averaging probability judgments: Monte Carlo analyses of asymptotic diagnostic values. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14, 123-140.
  • Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V. & Rapoport, A. Provision of step level public goods with uncertain provision threshold and continuous contribution.   Group Decisions and Negotiations, 2001, 10, 253-274.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Fischer. I. The same but different: An empirical examination of the reducibility principle. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14, 187-206.
  • Morera, O.F., & Budescu, D.V. Reduction of random error in analytic hierarchies: A comparison of holistic and decompositional decision strategies. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2001, 14, 223-242.
  • Azen, R., Budescu, D.V., & Reiser, B. Criticality of predictors in multiple regression. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 2001, 54, 201-225.
  • Budescu. D.V. & Rantilla, A.K. Confidence in aggregation of expert opinions.  Acta Psychologica, 2000, 104, 371-398.
  • Ariely, D., Au., W.T., Bender, R.H., Budescu, D.V., Dietz, C., Gu, H., Wallsten, T.S. & Zauberman, G. The effects of averaging subjective probability estimates between and within judges. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 2000, 6, 130-147.
  • Wallsten, T.S, Erev, I., & Budescu, D.V. The Importance of Theory:  Response to Brenner (2000).   Psychological Review, 2000, 107, 947-949.
  • Budescu, D.V., Erev, I., & Zwick, R.  (Eds.) Games and Human Behavior: Essays in Honor of Amnon Rapoport.  1999 (Lawrence Earlbaum Associates).
  • Zwick, R., Erev, I., & Budescu. D.V. The psychological and economical perspective on the study of human decisions in social and interactive contexts? In D.V.  Budescu, I. Erev, & R. Zwick (Eds.) Games and Human Behavior, LEA, 1999, pp 3-20.
  • Suleiman, R., & Budescu, D.V. Common pool resource dilemmas with incomplete information. In D.V.  Budescu, I. Erev, & R. Zwick(Eds.) Games and Human Behavior, LEA, 1999, 387-410.
  • Kuhn, K., Budescu, D.V., Hershey, J., Kramer, K., & Rantilla, A. Tradeoffs in risk attributes: The joint effects of dimension preference and vagueness. Risk, Decision and Policy, 1999, 4, 1-16.
  • Kramer, K.M., & Budescu, D.V. Modelling Ellsberg's paradox in the vague-vague case. In G. deCooman, F.O Cozman, S. Moral and P. Walley (Eds.) Proceedings of the First International Symposium on Imprecise probabilities and their Applications (ISIPTA). Universiteit Ghent, 1999, pp. 249-257.
  • Budescu, D.V. Commentary of Camerer and Hogarth's”The effects of financial incentives on behavior”.  Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1999, 19, 43-46.
    Au, W. & Budescu, D.V. Sequential effects in give-some and take-some social dilemmas.  In M. Foddy, M. Smithson, S. Schneider & M. Hogg (Eds.) Resolving Social Dilemmas: Dynamic, Structural and Intergroup Aspects.  Psychological Press, 1999, 87-99.
  • Morera, O.F., & Budescu, D.V. A psychometric analysis of the “Divide and Conquer” principle in decision analysis. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1998, 75, 187-206.
  • Suleiman, R., Rapoport, A., & Budescu. D.V.  Testing the equilibrium solution for resource dilemmas under uncertainty.  In E. T. Loehman & D. M. Kilgour (Eds.) Designing Institutions for Environmental and Resource Management.  Edward Elgar, 1998, 339-355.
  • Rantilla, A.K., & Budescu, D.V. Aggregation of expert opinions. Proceedings of the 32nd Annual  Hawai International Conference on Systems Sciences. 1998.
  • Suleiman, R., Rapoport, A. & Budescu, D.V. Fixed position and property rights in sequential resource dilemmas under uncertainty. Acta Psychologica, 1996, 93, 229-245 {Also appeared in R. Beyth Marom, P. Ayton, J. Beattie  & P. Keole (Eds.) Contributions to Decision Research II. Elsevier Science, 1996, 229-245}.
  • Kuhn, K., & Budescu, D.V. The relative importance of probability, outcomes and vagueness in hazard risk decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1996,68, 301-317.
  • Budescu, D.V., Crouch, B., & Morera, O. A multi-criteria comparison of response scales and scaling methods in the AHP.  Proceedings of the Fourth International Symposium on the AHP. Faculty of Business Administration, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC. 1996, 280-291.
  • Budescu, D.V. Review of "Subjective Probability” Edited by G Wright and P. Ayton. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1996, 91, 1753-1754.
  • Ben-Simon, A., Budescu, D.V. & Nevo, B. A comparative study of measures of partial knowledge in multiple choice tests. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1997, 21, 65-88.
  • Olson, M. & Budescu, D.V. Patterns of preferences for numerical and verbal probabilities.  Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 117-132.
  • Budescu, D.V., Au, W., & Chen, X. Effects of protocol of play and social orientation on behavior in sequential resource dilemmas. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1997, 69, 179-194.
  • Borenstein, G., Budescu. D.V., & Zamir, S. Cooperation in intergroup, N-person and two-person games of chicken. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 1997, 41, 384-406.
  • Rapoport, A. & Budescu, D.V. Randomization in individual choice behavior. Psychological Review, 1997, 104, 603-617.
  • Budescu, D.V., Cohen, Y. & Ben-Simon, A. A Revised Modified Parallel Analysis (RMPA) for the construction of  unidimensional item pools. Applied Psychological Measurement,  1997, 21, 233-252.
  • Budescu, D.V., Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S., & Yates, J.F. Introduction to the special issue on “Stochastic and Cognitive Models of Confidence”. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10,153-155.  
  • Budescu, D.V., Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. On the importance of random error in the study of probability judgment. Part I: New theoretical developments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 157-171.  
  • Budescu, D.V., Wallsten, T.S. & Au, W.  On the importance of random error in the study of probability judgment. Part II: Using the stochastic judgment model to detect systematic trends. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 173-188.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Erev, I. & Diederich, A. Evaluating and combining subjective probability estimates. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1997, 10, 243-268.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V. & Tsao, C.J. Combining linguistic probabilities. Psychologische  Beitraege, 1997, 27-55 {Also appeared in R.W. Scholz & A..C. Zimmer (Eds.) Qualitative Aspects of Decision Making. 1997, Pabst Science Publishers, 27-55.
  • Budescu, D.V., Suleiman, R., & Rapoport, A. Positional order and group size effects in resource dilemmas with uncertain resources. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1995, 61, 225-238.
  • Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V. A review of human linguistic probability processing: General principles and empirical evidence. The Knowledge Engineering Review, 1995, 10, 43-62.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Bruderman, M. The relationship between "the illusion of control" and "the desirability bias". Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1995, 8, 109-126.
    · Bar-Hillel, M. & Budescu, D.V. The elusive wishful thinking effect. Thinking and Reasoning, 1995, 1, 71-104.
  • Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Common pools dilemmas under uncertainty: Qualitative tests of equilibrium solutions. Games and Economic Behavior, 1995, 10, 171-201.
  • Seale, D., Rapoport, A., & Budescu, D.V. Decision making understrict uncertainty: An experimental test of competitive criteria. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1995, 64, 65-75.
  • Fisher, I., & Budescu, D.V. Desirability and hindsight biases in predicting results of a multi-party election.  In J.P. Caverni, M. Bar-Hillel, H.F. Barron, & H. Jungermann (Eds.) Contributions to Decision Research I. Elsevier Science Publishers B.V., North Holland, 1995, pp. 185-203.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Processing linguistic probabilities: General principles and empirical evidence. In J.R. Busemeyer, R. Hastie & D. Medin (Eds.) The Psychology of  Learning and Motivation: Decision Making from the Perspective of Cognitive Psychology.  Academic Press, 1995, 275-318.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Review of "Communicating Quantities: A Psychological Perspective" By L.M. Moxey and A.J.  Sanford. Chance, 1995, 8, 38-40.
  • Erev, I., Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V. Simultaneous over- and underconfidence: The role of error in judgment processes.  Psychological Review, 1994, 101, 519-527.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Rapoport, A. Subjective randomization in one-and two-person games. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 1994, 7, 261-278.
  • Suleiman, R., Budescu, D.V. & Rapoport, A., Positional order effects in resource dilemma games.  In U. Schulz, W. Albers & U.  Mueller (Eds.) Social Dilemmas and Cooperation. Springer-Verlag,  Heidelberg, 1994, pp. 55-73.
  • Wasserman, S. & Budescu, D.V. Review of "A Handbook for Data Analysis in the Behavioral Sciences.  Vol I: Statistical Issues and Vol II: Methodological Issues".  Edited by G. Keren and C. Lewis.  Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1994, 89, 715-717.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V. & Zwick, R. Comparing the calibration and coherence of numerical and verbal probability judgments.  Management Science, 1993, 39, 176-190.
  • Rapoport, A., Budescu, D.V. & Suleiman, R. Sequential requests from randomly distributed shared resources. Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 1993, 37, 241-265.
  • Budescu, D.V. Dominance analysis: A new approach to the problem of relative importance of predictors in multiple regression.  Psychological Bulletin, 1993, 114, 542-551.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Bar-Hillel, M. To guess or not to guess: A decision theoretic view of formula scoring. Journal of Educational Measurement, 1993, 30, 277-292.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Self-evaluation of success in psychological testing. In B.Nevo & R. Jager, R.S.(Eds.) Educational and  Psychological Testing: The Test Taker's Outlook. Toronto: Hogrefe & Huber Publishers, 1993, pp. 153-176.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Zwick, R.  & Kemp, S.M. Preferences and reasons for communicating probabilistic information in verbal or numerical terms. Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 1993, 31, 135-138.
  • Almagor, M., Budescu. D.V., Nevo,B., & Montag, I. MMPI - 2: A Hebrew translation report. University of Haifa, May 1993.
  • Rapoport, A. & Budescu, D.V.  Generation of random binary series in strictly competitive games. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 1992, 121, 352-364.
  • Rapoport, A., Budescu, D.V., Suleiman, R. & Weg, E. Social dilemmas with uniformly distributed resources. In W.G. Liebrand, D.M. Messick   & H. A.M. Wilke (Eds.) Social Dilemmas: Theoretical Issues and Research Findings. Pergamon Press, 1992, pp. 41-55.
  • Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Simultaneous vs sequential requests in resource dilemmas with incomplete information. Acta Psychologica, 1992, 80, 297-310. {Also appeared in O. Huber, J. Mumpower, J.van der Pligt & P. Koele (Eds.) Current Themes in Psychological Decision Research. North Holland, 1992, p. 297  - 310.
  • Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V. Comment on "Quantifying probabilistic expressions" (By Mosteller & Youtz).  Statistical Sciences, 1990, 5, 23-26.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Dyadic decisions with numeric and verbal probabilities. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1990, 46, 240-263.
  • Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A. & Suleiman, R. Resource dilemmas with environmental uncertainty and asymmetric players. European Journal of Social Psychology, 1990, 20, 475-488.
  • Budescu, D.V., Zwick, R., Wallsten, T.S. & Erev I. An empirical study of information integration. International Journal of  Man Machine Studies, 1990, 33, 657-676.
  • Budescu, D.V. Review of "Analyzing Decision Making: Metric Conjoint Analysis". By J.J. Louviere. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1990, 14, 103-105.
  • Yaffe-Katz, A., Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Magnitude comparisons of numerical and nonnumerical expressions of uncertainty. Memory and Cognition, 1989, 17, 249-264. 
  • Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., & Erev, I. Understanding and using linguistic uncertainties. In B. Rohrman, L.R. Beach, C. Vlek & S.R. Watson (Eds.) Advances in Decision Research. 1989, North Holland, 1989, pp. 39-52.  (Also appeared as journal article; see 1988)
  • Budescu, D.V.  On the feasibility of multiple matching tests: Variations on a theme by Gulliksen. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1988, 12, 5-14.
    · Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., & Erev, I. Understanding and using linguistic uncertainties. Acta Psychologica, 1988, 68, 39-52.  (Also appeared in edited book; see 1989)
  • Budescu, D.V., Weinberg, S., & Wallsten, T.S.  Decisions based on numerically andverbally expressed uncertainties. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1988, 14, 281-294. 
  • Zwick, R., Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S.  An empirical study of the integration of linguistic probabilities. In T. Zeteny  (Ed.)  Fuzzy Sets in Psychology .Amsterdam: North Holland, 1988, pp. 91-125.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Weiss, W. Reflection of transitive and intransitive preferences: A test of prospect theory. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1987, 39, 184-195.    
  • Budescu, D.V. A Markov model for generation of binary random series. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1987, 13, 25-39.
  • Budescu, D.V. Selecting an equating method: Linear or equipercentile? Journal of Educational Statistics, 1987, 12, 33-43.
  • Zwick, R., Carlstein, E., & Budescu, D.V. Measures of similarity between fuzzy concepts: A comparative analysis.  International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 1987, 1, 221-242.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Wallsten, T.S. Subjective estimation based on precise and vague uncertainties. In G. Wright & P. Ayton (Eds.) Judgmental Forecasting. N.Y.: Wiley, 1987, pp. 63-92.  
  • Budescu, D.V. & Betzer, R.E. Lexical and figurative negation of probability words in Hebrew. IIPDM Report No. 41, Haifa, 1987.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Budescu, D.V., Rapoport, A, Zwick R. & Forsyth,B. Measuring the vague meaning of probability terms. Journal of  Experimental Psychology: General, 1986, 115, 348-365.
  • Budescu, D.V., Zwick, R., & Rapoport, A. A comparison of the eigenvalue method and the geometric mean procedure for ratio scaling. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1986, 10, 69-78.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Self-evaluation of success in psychological testing. In B. Nevo & R. Jager, R.S. (Eds.), Psychological Testing: The Examinee Perspective. Gottingen: Sonderdruck, 1986, pp. 69-91.
  • Budescu, D.V. Analysis of dichotomous variables in the presence of serial dependence. Psychological Bulletin, 1985, 97,  547-561.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Efficiency of linear equating as a function of the length of the anchor test. Journal of Educational Measurement, 1985, 22, 13-20.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Nevo, B.  Optimal number of options: An investigation of the assumption of proportionality. Journal of  Educational Measurement, 1985, 22, 183-196.           
  • Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. Consistency in interpretation of probability phrases.  Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1985, 36, 391-405.
  • Budescu, D.V., Zwick, R., & Rapoport, A. A comparison of the analytic hierarchy process and the geometric mean procedure for ratio scaling. The L.L. Thurstone Psychometric Laboratory Report No. 172, Chapel Hill, NC 1985.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Scaling binary comparison matrices: A comment on Narasimhan's proposal. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 1984, 14, 187-192.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Tests of lagged dominance in sequential dyadic interaction. Psychological Bulletin, 1984, 96, 402-414.
  • Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V.  Encoding subjective probabilities: A psychological and psychometric review. Management Science, 1983, 29, 151-173.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Forsyth, B. & Budescu, D.V.  Stability and coherence of health experts' upper and lower subjective probabilities about dose-response curves. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1983, 31, 277-302.
  • Budescu, D.V. The estimation of factor indeterminacy. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 1983, 43, 971-976.
  • Kalsbeek, W.D., Mendoza, O.M. & Budescu, D.V.  Cost models for optimum allocation in multi-stage sampling. Survey Methodology Journal, 1983, 9, 154-177.
  • Budescu, D.V.  The power of the F test in normal populations with heterogeneous variances. Educational and Psychological Measurement, 1982, 42, 409-416.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Rodgers, J.L.  Corrections for spurious influences on correlations between MMPI scales. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 1981, 16, 483-497.     
  • Budescu, D.V. & Appelbaum, M.I.  Variance stabilizing transformations and the power of the F test Journal of  Educational Statistics, 1981, 6, 55-74.               
  • Wallsten, T.S. & Budescu, D.V.  Additivity and nonadditivity in judging MMPI profiles.  Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1981, 7, 1096-1109.
  • Kalsbeek, W.D., Mendoza, O.M. & Budescu, D.V.  A new cost model for optimum allocation in two-stage sampling.  Proceedings of  the American Statistical Association - Section on Survey    Research Methods, 1981. 
  • Williams, R.L., Budescu, D.V. & Chromy, J.  NAEP Year-11 design efficiency study.  (RTI/1969/01-01 F) Research Triangle Institute, RTP NC, October 1981.  
  • Budescu, D.V.  Some new measures of profile dissimilarity. Applied Psychological Measurement, 1980, 4, 261-272.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Approximate confidence intervals for a robust scale parameter. Psychometrika, 1980, 45, 397-402.          
  • Budescu, D.V.  A note on polynomial regression.  Multivariate BehavioralResearch, 1980, 15, 497-508.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Wallsten, T.S. A note on monotonic transformations in the context of functional measurement and  analysis of variance, Bulletin of the Psychonomic Society, 1979, 14, 307-310.
  • Budescu, D.V.  Differential weighting of multiple-choice items. Educational Testing Service, Research Report 79-19, Princeton, N.J., December 1979.

Selected Presentations Top
  • Budescu, D.V. Judgment and decisions with, and communication of, imprecise information. Invited presentation at the Conference on Ambiguity, Uncertainty, and Climate Change. Berkeley, CA, September, 2009.
  • Budescu, D.V. A decision theoretical perspective on psychometrics: Analyzing test-taking behavior. The Anastasi Lecture. Fordham University, December 2008.
  • Budescu, D.V., Abbas, A., Yu, HT., Haggerty, R., Mulligan, R., & Gu, R. Fixed pie or fixed variable? Comparing methods of elicitation of probability distributions. Invited presentation at the INFORMS Conference, Washington DC, October 2008.
  • Abbas, A., Budescu, D.V. & Gu, Y. Assessing joint distributions with isoprobability contours. Invited presentation at the INFORMS Conference, Washington DC, October 2008.
  • Budescu, D.V., Broomell, S.B. & Por, H.H. How should we communicate uncertainty about climate change to the Public?  The case of the IPCC. Invited presentation at the workshop on  Ecologies of Consumption: Markets, Sustainability, and Consumer Culture. Champaign, Il, April 2008. 
  • Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY.  Aggregation of probabilistic information from correlated sources. Invited presentation at the workshop on “Risk Attitudes” Montpellier, France, May 2007.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY. A comparison of models of aggregation of probabilistic forecasts. Invited presentation at the workshop “Meteorology meets Decision Science: Risk, Forecast and Decision” Exeter, UK, June 2007.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Maciejovsky, B. Collective induction without cooperation? Learning and knowledge transfer in cooperative groups and competitive auctions. Invited presentation at the pre-conference on “New directions in group research” at the annual meeting of the Society of Experimental Social Psychology. Chicago, October 2007.
  • Budescu, D.V. & Templin, S.E.  Valuation of Vague Prospects with Mixed Outcomes. Invited presentation at the workshop on Decision Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex Environments. Tucson, AZ, February 2006.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY. To Bayes or not to Bayes: A comparison of models of information aggregation. Invited presentation at the meeting on “Advice and Trust in Decision Making” at University College London, June 2006.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Yu, HY. To Bayes or not to Bayes: A comparison of models of information aggregation. Invited presentation at the meeting on “Affect, Motivation and Decision Making” at Ein Boqeq, Israel, December 2006.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Maciejovsky, B. The effects of monetary feedback and information spillovers on cognitive errors: Evidence from competitive markets. Invited presentation at the conference “People and Money: The human factor in financial decision-making” DePaul University, Chicago, IL, January 2005.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Maciejovsky, B. Can competitive markets eliminate cognitive biases. Invited presentation at the spring meeting of the Chicago Quantitative Alliance, Las Vegas, NV, April 2005.
  • Budescu, D.V. Determining relative importance through dominance analysis.  Invited presentation at the Annual Meeting of the Midwestern Psychological Association (MPA). Chicago Il, May 2005.
  • Budescu, D.V., & Broomell, S. The effects of presentation format and decision aids on decisions under deep uncertainty.  Invited presentation at the meeting on Abrupt Climate Change, Aspen Global Change Institute, July 2005.
  • Budescu, D.V., Rantilla, A.K., Karelitz, T.M. & Yu, H. Confidence in aggregation of opinions from multiple sources.  Invited presentation at the meeting on “Information sampling as a key to understanding adaptive cognition in uncertain environments”, Heidelberg, Germany, May 2002.
  • Budescu D. V. Effects of shared information on the aggregation of multiple probabilistic forecasts.  Invited presentation at the “Diversity theme workshop” organized by the Center for Software Reliability (CSR) at City University London, May 2002. 
  • Budescu D. V. On the judgment, aggregation of and confidence in probabilistic opinions. Invited presentation at the 10'th anniversary of the Center for the Study of Rationality at the Hebrew University, Jerusalem, June 2002. 
  • Budescu, D.V. Aggregating probabilistic opinions and forecasts. Presidential address at the annual meeting of the Society of Judgment and Decision Making, Orlando, Fl, 2001.
  • Budescu, D.V., Kuhn, K.M., & Kramer. K.M. Modeling the effects of vagueness on risky decisions. Invited presentation at the 4th Annual French Meeting of Experimental Economics.  May1998, Paris.
  • Budescu, D.V., Johnson, T., & Wallsten, T.S. Averaging probability judgments:MonteCarlo tests of the importance of pair-wise independence.  Invited presentation at the International INFORMS meeting, July 1998. Tel-Aviv.
  • Wallsten, T.S., Dietz, C., & Budescu, D.V. Averaging probability judgments: Tests of the applicability of a theorem to real data. Invited presentation at the International INFORMS meeting, July 1998. Tel-Aviv.
  • Budescu, D.V Ellsberg re-visited: Modeling the effects of vagueness on risky choices.  Invited presentation at the International INFORMS meeting, July 1998. Tel-Aviv.

Edited by: James Behnke

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