MBS 94-30
Premature Sampling in Random Walks
Jeffrey N. Rouder
Premature sampling is a modification of random walk theories that is
plausible and sufficient to explain an important failure of the sequential
probability ratio test (SPRT) model of choice reaction time. This paper
establishes a mathematical framework for random walks with premature sampling.
It makes four specific points: (1) Wald's Identity and the small steps
assumption fail to make the problem tractable in its fullest generality;
(2) Laming's (1968) derivation of the important result that premature sampling
leads to quicker errors in the SPRT model is flawed by a tenuous approximation;
(3) expressions for response probabilities and mean latencies are derived
for the general model on the assumption that premature sampling is not
sufficient, by itself, to trigger a response, although it does influence
the process; but (4) under that assumption, the SPRT model does indeed
imply that, conditioned on a response, mean response time for errors is
quicker than mean response times for corrects.