Speakers | Agenda

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William Batchelder - Professor of Cognitive Sciences, UCI
"Cultural Consensus Theory"

David Budescu - Professor of Psychology, Fordham
"Identifying Expertise and Using it to Extract the Wisdom of the Crowds"

Stefan Herzog Researcher, Max Planck Institute for Human Development Center for Adaptive Rationality
"The Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Mind"

Michael Lee - Professor of Cognitive Sciences, UCI
"Applying cognitive models to combine the wisdom of the crowd"

Casey Lichtendahl - Assistant Professor of Business Admin., Darden School of Business, University of Virginia
"The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds"

David Pennock - Principal Researcher and Asst. Managing Director, Microsoft
"Crowd Sourcing Predictions"

Jack Soll - Assoc. Professor, Fuqua School of Business, Duke
"The Wisdom of Small Crowds"

Mark Steyvers - Professor of Cognitive Sciences, UCI
"The Wisdom of Crowds in the Aggregation of Rankings"

Thomas Wallsten - Professor of Psychology, University of Maryland
"How Wise is the Crowd: Aggregating, Improving and Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts of Future Events"

Robert Winkler - Professor, Fuqua School of Business, Duke University
"Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds; Combining Probability Contributions by Averaging Quantiles"

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Agenda

Thursday, April 18

1:00-1:10

Opening Comments by Stergios Skaperdas & Mark Steyvers

Session Chair

Michael Lee – Cognitive Sciences, UCI

1:10-1:50

Jack Soll – Fuqua School of Business, Duke
“The Wisdom of Small Crowds”

1:50-2:00

Discussion

2:00-2:40

David Pennock – Principal Researcher & Asst. Managing Dir.,  Microsoft
"Crowdsourcing Predictions"

2:40-2:50

Discussion

2:50-3:10

Break

3:10-3:50

Casey Lichtendahl – Assistant Professor of Business Administration, Darden School of Business, University of Virginia
“The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds”

3:50-4:00

Discussion

4:00-4:40

Mark Steyvers – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
“The Wisdom of Crowds in the Aggregation of Rankings”

4:40-4:50

Discussion

4:50-5:50

Open Discussion

 

Friday, April 19

Session Chair

Mark Steyvers – Cognitive Sciences, UCI

9:00-9:40

Tom Wallsten – Psychology, University of Maryland
“How Wise is the Crowd: Aggregating, Improving and Evaluation Probabilistic Forecasts of Future Events”

9:40-9:50

Discussion

9:50-10:30

David Budescu – Psychology, Fordham University
“Identifying Expertise and Using it to Extract the Wisdom of the Crowds”

10:30-10:40

Discussion

10:40-10:55

Break

10:55--11:35

Michael Lee – Cognitive Sciences, UCI
"Applying Cognitive Models to Combine the Wisdom of the Crowd"

 

11:35-11:45

Discussion

11:45-1:45 

Lunch break

1:45-2:25

Stefan Herzog – Max Planck Institute
“The Wisdom of Crowds Within a Single Mind”

2:25-2:35

Discussion

2:35-3:15

Robert Winkler
Fuqua School of Business, Duke
"Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Combining Probability Contributions by Averaging Quantiles

 

3:15-3:25

Discussion

3:25-3:40

Break

3:40-4:20

William Batchelder, Cognitive Sciences, UCI
“Cultural Consensus Theory”

4:20-4:30

Discussion

4:30-5:00

Summary and General Discussion

 

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